Thursday Evening Update
Good Thursday evening everyone. The big storm system this weekend continues to be the main weather story that I’m concentrated on, as severe weather and flooding are likely. The National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Watch for much of the state beginning tomorrow evening and expiring Saturday night. A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions are favorable for flash flooding conditions, especially in flood-prone areas. If you live in a flood prone area, have a plan of action in case flooding begins and be sure to monitor forecasts over the coming days.
Two to four inches of rain is possible by Saturday night. The latest weather train precipitation graphic shows much of the area picking up an additional three inches of rainfall. This would cause flash flooding issues, especially since much of this area reported flooding issues yesterday.
I also continue to track the severe weather threat on Saturday. Now, the details are still fussy because we are still three days out, but the potential is there for severe thunderstorms to fire up throughout the day. The Storm Prediction Center already has an ENHANCED risk out for much of the area. An enhanced risk is the third highest risk area, meaning that there is an increased chance of severe weather on Saturday.
The determining factor for severe weather Saturday is based on how unstable the atmosphere is. If we see rain and clouds most of the day, our severe threat will decrease, if we see any sunshine our severe weather threat will skyrocket. It's a lose-lose situation because more rain would cause more flooding, but lessen the severe risk; however, less rain would enhance the severe threat. Regardless, stay weather aware over the next 48 hours. I'll be providing frequent updates via social media and on Q104 tomorrow and Saturday.