Friday Morning Update
Good morning everyone! The overnight data has changed things for our area. That's how weather works; things can completely change in a matter of hours. The latest information is now keeping the heavier rain just to our south; two inches is still expected with isolated three-inch amounts for areas that receive more torrential rain.
•Today: Scattered showers are possible, heavier rain moves in later this evening.
•Tonight/Saturday: During this time frame is when the most torrential rain will fall. Isolated severe weather is also possible.
Two to three inches is still a lot of rain and flooding is still a significant concern. Flash flood Watch remains in effect starting this evening and expiring Saturday night. This means that conditions are favorable for the development of flash flooding, especially in flood-prone areas.
The most significant change in the data overnight is to our severe weather threat. In last night’s blog, I said that if we experienced more rain, the severe weather threat would decrease. Well, the night data is now projecting that our area will see more rain; therefore the Storm Prediction Center has indeed decreased our risk for severe weather.
We are now under a MARGINAL risk, which means isolated severe storms are possible. A marginal risk is the lowest risk for severe weather, but I’ll keep an eye on this, as the data could change again as the storm approaches. I think this will be upgraded to a slight risk later today. I believe that there are enough ingredients in the atmosphere for a slight risk at this time. Stay tuned; I'll keep you updated with the latest!